Seminar

Robustness Reports: An Initiative to Prevent Model Myopia by Consilience of Inductions

1 February 2024
Start time 
4:00 pm
Online
Organizer: 
Doctorate in Cognitive and Brain Sciences, CIMeC
Target audience: 
UniTrento alumni
University community
UniTrento staff
Attendance: 
Free
Online
Online – Registration required
Registration email: 
Registration deadline: 
31 January 2024, 12:00
Contact person: 
Matteo De Matola, Davide Mazzaccara, Elisa Pasquini
+39 0464 808617
Speaker: 
Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Professor, University of Amsterdam

In most scientific articles, the primary research question is addressed using a single statistical analysis conducted by a single analyst. However, recent many-analysts projects have demonstrated that even straightforward statistical scenarios allow a broad choice of defensible modeling techniques that may well lead to qualitatively different conclusions. In other words, current reporting practice ignores an important aspect of uncertainty (i.e., the choice of modeling technique), and this in turn leads to overconfidence and model myopia. In order to probe the fragility of the conclusions and explore the extent to which different analysts reach the same conclusion, standard reporting practice needs to change. One concrete proposal is to introduce "Robustness Reports": short, methods-oriented comments that are published alongside the original article. I will elaborate on this proposal, with an emphasis on its advantages and its feasibility.