The estimated data on Covid-19 infections have just been published on the website of the Agency. This is the first effect of the agreement between AGENAS and the Department of Physics of the University of Trento which, among other things, aims to implement a simplified method to determine the Rt value, which is used for monitoring trends in the pandemic on a regional and provincial basis.
The simplified method examines aggregate data published every day by the Civil Protection in a new way, integrating the data published by other sources.
In particular, it is possible to anticipate, with a good level of approximation, the future development of the epidemic by providing timely and analytical support to define containment measures. "The data published on our website - underlines the Director of the Agency, Domenico Mantoan - thanks to the collaboration with the Physics Department of the University of Trento, will provide a useful and quick tool that will help policy makers at national and regional level in the fight against Covid-19, with a weekly projection of infections in the following seven days. I would like to remind you that AGENAS is a technical-scientific body of the Italian Healthcare System (SSN) which performs research and provides support to the Minister of Health, the Regions, and Autonomous Provinces of Trento and Bolzano".
"The correct analysis and understanding of epidemiological data and of the development of the epidemic - comments Professor Roberto Battiston, coordinator of the Epidemiological data observatory of the Department of Physics of the University of Trento - are essential to support virus containment policies. We are still in the midst of the emergency and all the reliable information that we can obtain from the data must be made available to those in charge in the government and to the scientific community. The group of researchers collaborating with the Observatory is developing, together with Agenas, advanced analysis models and tools useful for understanding the development of the epidemic in the medium term and for promptly identifying new outbreaks. It is important to underline that the Observatory is open to contributions from other researchers who are experts on these topics”.
The data are published on the Agency's website as part of the Covid-19 Report, “Proiezione infetti” - at the following address: https://www.agenas.gov.it/covid19/web/index.php